|2013 BCS National Championship Notre Dame vs. Alabama Picks & Predictions|
|Written by ATSSportsline.com|
|Monday, 07 January 2013 15:30|
BCS National Title Game Free Pick
ODDS: According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Crimson Tide are 9.5-point favorites versus the Fighting Irish, while the over/under total is currently sitting at 40.5 points. Alabama is 12-1 overall and Notre Dame is a perfect 12-0 entering the game.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Tide opened as an 8.5-point favorite but the line has been bet up to 9.5 or even 10 at some sports books. As for the total, it opened at 43 but it's down to 40.5 at most sports books.
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the current wagers placed on tonight’s game, 66% of College Football public bettors currently favor the Fighting Irish. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided to get the most updated public betting numbers
BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP FREE PICK: Take Notre Dame. According to latest college football trends, Alabama is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on grass, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Notre Dame is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game and is 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Notre Dame has been giving little to no respect this entire season, so why should they be getting respect in the biggest game of the season from the oddsmakers? Notre Dame has not won a national title since 1988 and has not been atop the rankings since 1993. Alabama is chasing its third national championship in the past four years under Nick Saban, who has restored the luster to one of the few programs that can stand up to Notre Dame's legacy. Notre Dame can handle this physical Alabama team but they are just as strong up front on both lines.
Linebacker Manti Te'o leads a defense that allows a nation-low 10.3 points per game and withstood a number of close calls as its offense continued to improve. They met every challenge this year and won. Notre Dame was at its most dominant in a 30-13 rout at Oklahoma on Oct. 27 as a 10.5-point dog. Sound familiar? The Fighting Irish defense permitted only nine touchdowns overall and two on the ground. Te'o has seven interceptions and played behind a stellar defensive front featuring ends Stephon Tuitt (12 sacks) and Kapron Lewis-Moore along with the massive Louis Nix III. Notre Dame's running back corps of Theo Riddick, Cierre Wood and George Atkinson III combined for 2,000 yards and will test a defense that allowed a national-low 246 yards. Notre Dame's offense revolves around dual-threat quarterback Everett Golson. Expect Notre Dame to challenge Alabama, take an early lead and win this game outright.
2013 BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP FREE PICK: NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH +9.5